mindlessphilosopher.net - Mindless Philosopher | The plural of data

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Title:

Mindless Philosopher | The plural of data
Age:

13 years old
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Total Sites Linking In (Alexa):

3
Domain's IP Country:

United States
Status Code:

OK
IP Address:

64.14.68.11
Description:

Mindless Philosopher - Aaron's Sphere of Influence
Keywords:

Mindless Philosopher blog, Mindless Philosopher

mindlessphilosopher.net Whois Information:

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Domain Name:

mindlessphilosopher.net
2.

Domain Age:

13 years old
3.

Name Server 1:

ns1.server260.com
4.

Name Server 2:

ns2.server260.com
5.

Created:

Sunday 13. July 2003
6.

Expires:

Friday 13. July 2018
7.

Domain Registrar:

Enom, INC.

Website Important Html Tags:

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TEXT
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Puzzle 1 —
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Puzzle 2 —
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Puzzle 3 —
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Puzzle 4 —
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I used Catalist’s turnout score and Obama support score the two microtargeting scores that I reference in the post. Neither was affected by 2012 campaign activity, thus reducing endogeneity problems. Special thanks to
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Chris Kennedy rightly
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Figure 1 was distorted by Monkey Cage. Here’s the real one:
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Sporadic voters are defined as those having ex-ante turnout probabilities of below 85% (which is about the median probability, and much higher than the mean value of 71%). Campaign effect estimate are much lower among voters with the highest turnout probabilities (>95%); inclusion of borderline GOTV voters (with vote propensity scores 85%-95%) would increase the estimated net Obama effect, but itâs not clear that these voters were targeted by the campaigns, so they are left out. Republicans are defined as having a pre-campaign, Catalist-estimated likelihood of supporting Obama below 40%; Democrats, above 60%. One standard error is shown as error bars in the Figures. The nationwide turnout of 66% is calculated from Catalistâs voter file and includes inactive voters (using official designations) in the denominator.
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The turnout and partisanship scores were developed by Catalist and used by them in Spring 2012. No 2012 campaign activities affect these microtargeting scores. This helps avoid endogeneity issues.
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David Rakoff
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3 wds: Rhythmic Raw Rakoff
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The plural of data
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© 2016 -
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Under the Steam
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meme
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Puzzle 1:
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Puzzle 2:
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Puzzle 3:
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Puzzle 4:
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Puzzle 5:
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Bookroll
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Tweets
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Blogroll
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Archives
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Meta
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two degrees
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Spoilers below
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Wednesday update
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To re-state: partisans in battleground states are the voters most affected by non-campaign competitiveness effects, and these are the voters whom campaigns most target.

mindlessphilosopher.net IP Information:

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Ip Address:

64.14.68.11
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Country:

United States
3.

Status Code:

OK
4.

Region Name:

Missouri
5.

City Name:

Chesterfield
6.

Zip Code:

63017
7.

Speed test:

70.1 ms

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5 Websites linking to mindlessphilosopher.net:
slate.com
umn.edu
biasedestimates.com

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